Gianluca Baio

ˈdʒiːan 'luːkə ˈbaɪəʊ

Professor of Statistics and Health Economics

Department of Statistical Science

University College London


I am a Professor of Statistics and Health Economics in the Department of Statistical Science at University College London. I graduated in Statistics and Economics from the University of Florence (Italy). I then completed a PhD programme in Applied Statistics again at the University of Florence, after a period at the Program on the Pharmaceutical Industry at the MIT Sloan School of Management, Cambridge (USA). I then worked as a Research Fellow and then Lecturer in the Department of Statistical Sciences at University College London (UK).

My main interests are in Bayesian statistical modelling for cost effectiveness analysis and decision-making problems in the health systems, hierarchical/multilevel models and causal inference using the decision-theoretic approach.

I lead the Statistics for Health Economic Evaluation research group within the department of Statistical Science. Our activity revolves around the development and application of Bayesian statistical methodology for health economic evaluation, e.g. cost-effectiveness or cost-utility analysis. We work in close collaboration with academics both within UCL and at other institutions and our activities include a series of seminars aimed at statisticians, health economists and clinicians working in economic evaluations. I collaborate with the UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) as a Scientific Advisor on Health Technology Appraisal projects.

I have served as Secretary (2014-2016) and then Programme Chair (2016-2018) in the Section on Biostatistics and Pharmaceutical Statistics of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis. I currently serve as an Associate Editor for the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series A) and am a member of the Editorial Board of Significance, the magazine of both the Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association. I also am a member of the Scientific Committee of the Bayes Workshop and a member of the technical sub-group tasked by the NHS Medical Director to review the statistical and methodological aspects related to the use of the Summary Hospital-level Mortality Indicator. I have been the 18th Armitage Lecturer in November 2021.

I am currently the Head of the UCL Department of Statistical Science (on a 5 years term, from September 2021).

My personal view of the world is that statisticians should be in charge of everything. And, come to think about it, Bayesian statisticians should be in charge of all statisticians.

And brexit sucks. brexit sucks


  • Bayesian statistics
  • Health economic evaluation
  • Causal inference from observational data
  • Philosophy and history of statistics


  • PhD in Applied Statistics, 2005

    University of Florence

  • BSc/MSc Statistics and Economics, 1998

    University of Florence

Last updated: 30 Nov 2021


  • g.baio@ucl.ac.uk
  • +44(0)20 7679 1248
  • Room 235, Department of Statistical Science, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, London, WC1E 7HB
  • In a normal world, enter 1-19 Torrington Place from the staff turnstile (not the main reception!) and go up to Floor 2. Then turn left and left again and go all the way to the end of the corridor to find room 235.
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