The fix
Bayesian statistics
Software
This is a very interesting post by Martyn Plummer on the JAGS News blog, describing how apparently silly details may make a world of difference. I think Martyn says he’s now fixed the issue (basically, it appears that JAGS was sensitive to the order in which the model was written, eg at compilation you may have a staggering difference \(-\) 16 minute vs 8 seconds \(-\) depending on whether you defined the deterministic relationships between parameters first or last).
I’m writing this post mostly as a signpost for myself \(-\) I guess you always encounter issues like this, which seem trivial, and the fix is so easy \(-\) if only you had a bunch of little workers at your disposal all the time…