model { # Multinomial distribution for r, for the observed states with random transitions for(s in 1:3){ r.0[s,1:S] ~ dmulti(lambda.0[s,1:S], n.0[s]) r.1[s,1:S] ~ dmulti(lambda.1[s,1:S], n.1[s]) # Dirichlet prior distributions for the transition probabilities lambda.0[s,1:S] ~ ddirch(alpha.0[1:S]) lambda.1[s,1:S] ~ ddirch(alpha.1[1:S]) } # Prior for the non-observed state (Hex) lambda.0[4,1:S] ~ ddirch(alpha.0[1:S]) lambda.1[4,1:S] ~ ddirch(alpha.0[1:S]) # Deterministic values for the absorbent state (TP) for (s in 1:4) { lambda.0[S,s] <- 0 lambda.1[S,s] <- 0 } lambda.0[S,S] <- 1 lambda.1[S,S] <- 1 }